Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circle#28 in the world · win 13:6series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 13:6
Liquid#27 in the world · loss 6:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Liquid ban
73%40%
Inner Circle · 11 mapsedge Inner Circle +33%Liquid · 6 maps
NukeInner Circle ban
58%62%
Inner Circle · 8 mapsnearly even -4%Liquid · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%64%
Inner Circle · 6 mapsedge Liquid +14%Liquid · 10 maps
MirageInner Circle ban
47%75%
Inner Circle · 11 mapsedge Liquid +28%Liquid · 4 maps
AncientLiquid ban
60%40%
Inner Circle · 11 mapsedge Inner Circle +20%Liquid · 1 map
CacheLiquid ban
71%60%
Inner Circle · 3 mapsedge Inner Circle +11%Liquid · 6 maps
OverpassInner Circle ban
50%50%
Inner Circle · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Liquid · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle remove Nuke
2. BanLiquid remove Ancient
3. BanInner Circle remove Mirage
4. BanLiquid remove Dust2
5. BanInner Circle remove Overpass
6. BanLiquid remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (50% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
Inner Circle 63%Liquid 37%
The model gave 63% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 52%
Series resultInner Circle 13:6
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1