NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BAKS#112 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoINOX Division pick
61%36%
INOX Division · 29 mapsedge INOX Division +25%BAKS · 7 maps
CacheBAKS pick
39%75%
INOX Division · 14 mapsedge BAKS +36%BAKS · 16 maps
Dust2BAKS ban
45%44%
INOX Division · 18 mapsnearly even +1%BAKS · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
65%50%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +15%BAKS · 8 maps
AncientINOX Division ban
58%70%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge BAKS +12%BAKS · 6 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
67%50%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +17%BAKS · 0 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%56%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge BAKS +6%BAKS · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanBAKS remove Anubis
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickBAKS take Cache
5. BanBAKS remove Dust2
6. BanINOX Division remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (65% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
INOX Division 75%BAKS 25%
The model gave 75% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Cacheprediction missed16:13
INOX Division 16%BAKS 84%
The model gave 84% on BAKS — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 53%
Series resultINOX Division 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2