CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
48%58%
INOX Division · 19 mapsedge Black Phoenix +10%Black Phoenix · 44 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
62%67%
INOX Division · 30 mapsedge Black Phoenix +5%Black Phoenix · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
65%50%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +15%Black Phoenix · 20 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
42%53%
INOX Division · 15 mapsedge Black Phoenix +11%Black Phoenix · 15 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
59%33%
INOX Division · 23 mapsedge INOX Division +26%Black Phoenix · 2 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
67%24%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +43%Black Phoenix · 17 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%44%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +6%Black Phoenix · 23 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderNuke (65% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
INOX Division 68%Black Phoenix 32%
The model gave 68% on INOX Division — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
INOX Division 37%Black Phoenix 63%
The model gave 63% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 62%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2