NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
UNiTY#102 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
67%46%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge INOX Division +21%UNiTY · 9 maps
AncientINOX Division ban
60%43%
INOX Division · 6 mapsedge INOX Division +17%UNiTY · 10 maps
InfernoUNiTY pick
54%67%
INOX Division · 9 mapsedge UNiTY +13%UNiTY · 2 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
60%50%
INOX Division · 11 mapsedge INOX Division +10%UNiTY · 0 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%50%
INOX Division · 0 mapsnearly even +0%UNiTY · 8 maps
OverpassINOX Division pick
67%50%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +17%UNiTY · 0 maps
AnubisUNiTY ban
50%38%
INOX Division · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +12%UNiTY · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickINOX Division take Overpass
4. PickUNiTY take Inferno
5. BanUNiTY remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (67% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
INOX Division 60%UNiTY 40%
The model gave 60% on INOX Division — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Overpassprediction missed1:13
INOX Division 69%UNiTY 31%
The model gave 69% on INOX Division — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 66%
Series resultUNiTY 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2