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BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ODDIK Academy#233 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
56%50%
Isurus · 14 mapsedge Isurus +6%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
NukeIsurus ban
50%50%
Isurus · 10 mapsnearly even +0%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
MirageODDIK Academy ban
62%50%
Isurus · 9 mapsedge Isurus +12%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
AncientIsurus ban
55%50%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge Isurus +5%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%50%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +5%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
OverpassODDIK Academy pick
43%50%
Isurus · 3 mapsedge ODDIK Academy +7%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
CacheODDIK Academy ban
67%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Isurus +17%ODDIK Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Nuke
2. BanODDIK Academy remove Cache
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. PickODDIK Academy take Overpass
5. BanODDIK Academy remove Mirage
6. BanIsurus remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
Isurus 52%ODDIK Academy 48%
The model gave 52% on Isurus — the map was taken by ODDIK Academy.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Isurus 58%ODDIK Academy 42%
The model gave 58% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Infernoprediction missed16:13
Isurus 45%ODDIK Academy 55%
The model gave 55% on ODDIK Academy — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 69%
Series resultIsurus 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3