It's a Secret vs Chicken Coop — prediction FRAG 20 · CS2

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FRAG 20 · BO3

result vs prediction

It's a Secretloss 1:2

series probability

44%56%

probability at match start · final 1:2

Chicken Coop#183 in the world · win 2:1

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Map veto prediction

Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.

Prediction by map vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.

Dust2prediction correct13:1

It's a Secret 53%Chicken Coop 47%

The model gave 53% on It's a Secret — the map was taken by It's a Secret.

Nukeprediction correct7:13

It's a Secret 47%Chicken Coop 53%

The model gave 53% on Chicken Coop — the map was taken by Chicken Coop.

Overpassprediction missed3:13

It's a Secret 50%Chicken Coop 50%

The model gave 50% on It's a Secret — the map was taken by Chicken Coop.

Model check result

Model favoriteChicken Coop · 56%

Series resultChicken Coop 1:2

Series predictioncorrect

Accuracy by map2 of 3