Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora#6 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2JiJieHao ban
36%50%
JiJieHao · 7 mapsedge Aurora +14%Aurora · 6 maps
AnubisAurora pick
50%64%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge Aurora +14%Aurora · 7 maps
InfernoJiJieHao pick
62%67%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge Aurora +5%Aurora · 2 maps
AncientAurora ban
57%50%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%Aurora · 0 maps
MirageAurora ban
60%57%
JiJieHao · 6 mapsnearly even +3%Aurora · 3 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%67%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Aurora +17%Aurora · 8 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%43%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%Aurora · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanAurora remove Ancient
3. PickJiJieHao take Inferno
4. PickAurora take Anubis
5. BanAurora remove Mirage
6. BanJiJieHao remove Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
JiJieHao 56%Aurora 44%
The model gave 56% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by Aurora.
Anubisprediction correct4:13
JiJieHao 34%Aurora 66%
The model gave 66% on Aurora — the map was taken by Aurora.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora · 82%
Series resultAurora 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2