XP Game Fest 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJiJieHao pick
67%70%
JiJieHao · 8 mapsnearly even -3%BASEMENT BOYS · 6 maps
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS pick
50%67%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +17%BASEMENT BOYS · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
63%63%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsnearly even +0%BASEMENT BOYS · 4 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
75%43%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge JiJieHao +32%BASEMENT BOYS · 3 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
40%50%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge BASEMENT BOYS +10%BASEMENT BOYS · 6 maps
AnubisJiJieHao ban
43%57%
JiJieHao · 3 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +14%BASEMENT BOYS · 3 maps
OverpassBASEMENT BOYS ban
50%40%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +10%BASEMENT BOYS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Overpass
3. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
4. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Dust2
5. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
6. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (63% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
JiJieHao 33%BASEMENT BOYS 67%
The model gave 67% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Infernoprediction correct16:12
JiJieHao 82%BASEMENT BOYS 18%
The model gave 82% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 54%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2