XP Game Fest 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#70 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BASEMENT BOYS#100 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientJiJieHao pick
67%71%
JiJieHao · 5 mapsnearly even -4%BASEMENT BOYS · 3 maps
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS pick
40%73%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge BASEMENT BOYS +33%BASEMENT BOYS · 7 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
75%60%
JiJieHao · 4 mapsedge JiJieHao +15%BASEMENT BOYS · 1 map
NukeJiJieHao ban
40%43%
JiJieHao · 1 mapnearly even -3%BASEMENT BOYS · 3 maps
AnubisJiJieHao ban
40%67%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge BASEMENT BOYS +27%BASEMENT BOYS · 2 maps
MirageBASEMENT BOYS ban
60%50%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge JiJieHao +10%BASEMENT BOYS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Mirage
3. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
4. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Dust2
5. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
6. BanJiJieHao remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
JiJieHao 23%BASEMENT BOYS 77%
The model gave 77% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Infernoprediction correct16:12
JiJieHao 69%BASEMENT BOYS 31%
The model gave 69% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 54%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2