HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#37 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BASEMENT BOYS#60 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJiJieHao pick
71%72%
JiJieHao · 17 mapsnearly even -1%BASEMENT BOYS · 21 map
Ancientpossible decider
54%44%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsedge JiJieHao +10%BASEMENT BOYS · 21 map
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS pick
44%59%
JiJieHao · 14 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +15%BASEMENT BOYS · 13 maps
CacheJiJieHao ban
38%40%
JiJieHao · 9 mapsnearly even -2%BASEMENT BOYS · 16 maps
AnubisBASEMENT BOYS ban
56%64%
JiJieHao · 12 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +8%BASEMENT BOYS · 7 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%50%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BASEMENT BOYS · 16 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
43%40%
JiJieHao · 10 mapsnearly even +3%BASEMENT BOYS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
3. PickJiJieHao take Mirage
4. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Dust2
5. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Anubis
6. BanJiJieHao remove Cache
DeciderAncient (54% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
JiJieHao 57%BASEMENT BOYS 43%
The model gave 57% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
JiJieHao 39%BASEMENT BOYS 61%
The model gave 61% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 69%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2