Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#47 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientChinggis Warriors pick
57%67%
JiJieHao · 3 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +10%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%40%
JiJieHao · 3 mapsedge JiJieHao +17%Chinggis Warriors · 1 map
NukeJiJieHao ban
40%57%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge Chinggis Warriors +17%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
Dust2JiJieHao pick
67%40%
JiJieHao · 2 mapsedge JiJieHao +27%Chinggis Warriors · 1 map
InfernoChinggis Warriors ban
50%43%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +7%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
AnubisChinggis Warriors ban
50%50%
JiJieHao · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Chinggis Warriors · 0 maps
DefaultJiJieHao ban
50%67%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +17%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanChinggis Warriors remove Anubis
3. PickJiJieHao take Dust2
4. PickChinggis Warriors take Ancient
5. BanChinggis Warriors remove Inferno
6. BanJiJieHao remove Default
DeciderMirage (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:13
JiJieHao 37%Chinggis Warriors 63%
The model gave 63% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
JiJieHao 77%Chinggis Warriors 23%
The model gave 77% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
JiJieHao 67%Chinggis Warriors 33%
The model gave 67% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 54%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3