CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1win#33 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
54%63%
Johnny Speeds · 9 mapsedge 1win +9%1win · 4 maps
MirageJohnny Speeds ban
33%44%
Johnny Speeds · 8 mapsedge 1win +11%1win · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
67%43%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +24%1win · 3 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
33%67%
Johnny Speeds · 5 mapsedge 1win +34%1win · 2 maps
InfernoJohnny Speeds pick
70%60%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +10%1win · 1 map
Ancient1win ban
63%50%
Johnny Speeds · 4 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +13%1win · 2 maps
Default1win ban
60%50%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge Johnny Speeds +10%1win · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
2. Ban1win remove Ancient
3. PickJohnny Speeds take Inferno
4. Pick1win take Dust2
5. Ban1win remove Default
6. BanJohnny Speeds remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (67% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Johnny Speeds 36%1win 64%
The model gave 64% on 1win — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Overpassprediction correct13:4
Johnny Speeds 75%1win 25%
The model gave 75% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 54%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2