Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ReThink#237 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJohnny Speeds ban
36%60%
Johnny Speeds · 10 mapsedge ReThink +24%ReThink · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%44%
Johnny Speeds · 10 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +6%ReThink · 5 maps
AncientReThink pick
70%60%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +10%ReThink · 6 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
45%43%
Johnny Speeds · 7 mapsnearly even +2%ReThink · 3 maps
InfernoReThink ban
67%33%
Johnny Speeds · 8 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +34%ReThink · 2 maps
OverpassJohnny Speeds pick
70%67%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsnearly even +3%ReThink · 2 maps
DefaultReThink ban
60%50%
Johnny Speeds · 1 mapedge Johnny Speeds +10%ReThink · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Mirage
2. BanReThink remove Inferno
3. PickJohnny Speeds take Overpass
4. PickReThink take Ancient
5. BanReThink remove Default
6. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed19:22
Johnny Speeds 58%ReThink 42%
The model gave 58% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by ReThink.
Infernoprediction correct13:1
Johnny Speeds 82%ReThink 18%
The model gave 82% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Overpassprediction missed11:13
Johnny Speeds 54%ReThink 46%
The model gave 54% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by ReThink.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 68%
Series resultReThink 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3