CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Julie&Cie ban
33%55%
Julie&Cie · 2 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +22%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity pick
50%50%
Julie&Cie · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
NukeJulie&Cie ban
50%50%
Julie&Cie · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
AnubisJulie&Cie pick
50%33%
Julie&Cie · 0 mapsedge Julie&Cie +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%38%
Julie&Cie · 0 mapsedge Julie&Cie +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%50%
Julie&Cie · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
Julie&Cie · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJulie&Cie remove Dust2
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickJulie&Cie take Anubis
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Inferno
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanJulie&Cie remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
Julie&Cie 32%ex-Zero Tenacity 68%
The model gave 68% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Julie&Cie 60%ex-Zero Tenacity 40%
The model gave 60% on Julie&Cie — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 62%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2