NODWIN Clutch Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
54%31%
Just Players · 42 mapsedge Just Players +23%benched gods · 12 maps
Ancientpossible decider
63%47%
Just Players · 28 mapsedge Just Players +16%benched gods · 13 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
40%43%
Just Players · 26 mapsnearly even -3%benched gods · 10 maps
CacheJust Players ban
31%57%
Just Players · 12 mapsedge benched gods +26%benched gods · 17 maps
Anubisbenched gods pick
46%50%
Just Players · 9 mapsnearly even -4%benched gods · 14 maps
Nukebenched gods ban
38%50%
Just Players · 20 mapsedge benched gods +12%benched gods · 0 maps
DefaultJust Players ban
70%86%
Just Players · 6 mapsedge benched gods +16%benched gods · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Cache
2. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. Pickbenched gods take Anubis
5. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
6. BanJust Players remove Default
DeciderAncient (63% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct9:13
Just Players 23%benched gods 77%
The model gave 77% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Just Players 75%benched gods 25%
The model gave 75% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Just Players 65%benched gods 35%
The model gave 65% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 53%
Series resultJust Players 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3