CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
52%50%
Just Players · 25 mapsnearly even +2%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Dust2ex-Young Ninjas pick
35%50%
Just Players · 19 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +15%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
AncientJust Players ban
55%50%
Just Players · 18 mapsedge Just Players +5%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
NukeJust Players ban
50%50%
Just Players · 10 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%50%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Just Players +6%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Overpassex-Young Ninjas ban
56%50%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Just Players +6%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Anubisex-Young Ninjas ban
71%50%
Just Players · 3 mapsedge Just Players +21%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Nuke
2. Banex-Young Ninjas remove Anubis
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. Pickex-Young Ninjas take Dust2
5. Banex-Young Ninjas remove Overpass
6. BanJust Players remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
Just Players 55%ex-Young Ninjas 45%
The model gave 55% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
Just Players 47%ex-Young Ninjas 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-Young Ninjas — the map was taken by ex-Young Ninjas.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Just Players 35%ex-Young Ninjas 65%
The model gave 65% on ex-Young Ninjas — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 72%
Series resultJust Players 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3