CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeJust Players ban
33%43%
Just Players · 2 mapsedge Hashiras +10%Hashiras · 3 maps
Dust2Hashiras ban
40%60%
Just Players · 1 mapedge Hashiras +20%Hashiras · 1 map
InfernoJust Players ban
50%33%
Just Players · 0 mapsedge Just Players +17%Hashiras · 2 maps
DefaultHashiras pick
40%50%
Just Players · 1 mapedge Hashiras +10%Hashiras · 0 maps
MirageHashiras ban
40%50%
Just Players · 1 mapedge Hashiras +10%Hashiras · 0 maps
OverpassJust Players pick
60%50%
Just Players · 1 mapedge Just Players +10%Hashiras · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Inferno
2. BanHashiras remove Mirage
3. PickJust Players take Overpass
4. PickHashiras take Default
5. BanHashiras remove Dust2
6. BanJust Players remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Just Players 37%Hashiras 63%
The model gave 63% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Just Players.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
Just Players 33%Hashiras 67%
The model gave 67% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Hashiras.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
Just Players 50%Hashiras 50%
The model gave 50% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteHashiras · 61%
Series resultJust Players 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3