ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Last Resort#106 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisJust Players pick
50%60%
Just Players · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 1 map
MirageThe Last Resort ban
50%40%
Just Players · 0 mapsedge Just Players +10%The Last Resort · 1 map
OverpassJust Players ban
50%60%
Just Players · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +10%The Last Resort · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Overpass
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
3. PickJust Players take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
Just Players 63%The Last Resort 37%
The model gave 63% on Just Players — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Overpassprediction missed13:11
Just Players 37%The Last Resort 63%
The model gave 63% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by Just Players.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Just Players 50%The Last Resort 50%
The model gave 50% on Just Players — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 66%
Series resultThe Last Resort 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3