ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Just Swingseries probability
40%60%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Alter Ego#117 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Alter Ego pick
43%64%
Just Swing · 3 mapsedge Alter Ego +21%Alter Ego · 7 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%67%
Just Swing · 3 mapsedge Alter Ego +24%Alter Ego · 5 maps
InfernoAlter Ego ban
67%57%
Just Swing · 2 mapsedge Just Swing +10%Alter Ego · 3 maps
CacheJust Swing pick
67%67%
Just Swing · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Alter Ego · 2 maps
NukeAlter Ego ban
67%50%
Just Swing · 2 mapsedge Just Swing +17%Alter Ego · 2 maps
MirageJust Swing ban
50%57%
Just Swing · 0 mapsedge Alter Ego +7%Alter Ego · 3 maps
AnubisJust Swing ban
50%40%
Just Swing · 0 mapsedge Just Swing +10%Alter Ego · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Swing remove Mirage
2. BanAlter Ego remove Nuke
3. PickJust Swing take Cache
4. PickAlter Ego take Dust2
5. BanAlter Ego remove Inferno
6. BanJust Swing remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (43% / 67%)