IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#34 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Eternal Fire#47 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
67%57%
K27 · 17 mapsedge K27 +10%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
59%57%
K27 · 13 mapsnearly even +2%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
56%50%
K27 · 12 mapsedge K27 +6%Eternal Fire · 6 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
62%50%
K27 · 9 mapsedge K27 +12%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
33%33%
K27 · 14 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
AnubisK27 ban
50%50%
K27 · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%55%
K27 · 0 mapsedge Eternal Fire +5%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
6. BanK27 remove Anubis
DeciderCache (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
K27 49%Eternal Fire 51%
The model gave 51% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Cacheprediction missed7:13
K27 59%Eternal Fire 41%
The model gave 59% on K27 — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 64%
Series resultEternal Fire 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2