GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
63%63%
K27 · 12 mapsnearly even +0%Nuclear TigeRES · 12 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
25%50%
K27 · 12 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +25%Nuclear TigeRES · 10 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
63%38%
K27 · 15 mapsedge K27 +25%Nuclear TigeRES · 4 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
56%63%
K27 · 5 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +7%Nuclear TigeRES · 12 maps
Dust2K27 ban
62%67%
K27 · 9 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%Nuclear TigeRES · 8 maps
CacheK27 pick
67%67%
K27 · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Nuclear TigeRES · 2 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%71%
K27 · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
3. PickK27 take Cache
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
6. BanK27 remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (63% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
K27 40%Nuclear TigeRES 60%
The model gave 60% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
K27 53%Nuclear TigeRES 47%
The model gave 53% on K27 — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 52%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2