CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Virtus.pro ban
63%50%
K27 · 4 mapsedge K27 +13%Virtus.pro · 8 maps
OverpassVirtus.pro pick
50%67%
K27 · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +17%Virtus.pro · 8 maps
AncientVirtus.pro ban
60%63%
K27 · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%60%
K27 · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +10%Virtus.pro · 6 maps
NukeK27 ban
33%71%
K27 · 5 mapsedge Virtus.pro +38%Virtus.pro · 3 maps
AnubisK27 ban
43%50%
K27 · 3 mapsedge Virtus.pro +7%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
DefaultK27 pick
50%40%
K27 · 0 mapsedge K27 +10%Virtus.pro · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Nuke
2. BanVirtus.pro remove Dust2
3. PickK27 take Default
4. PickVirtus.pro take Overpass
5. BanVirtus.pro remove Ancient
6. BanK27 remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct17:19
K27 18%Virtus.pro 82%
The model gave 82% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Overpassprediction missed13:10
K27 31%Virtus.pro 69%
The model gave 69% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by K27.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
K27 40%Virtus.pro 60%
The model gave 60% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 50%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3