CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GameHunters#122 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
56%43%
Keyd Stars · 14 mapsedge Keyd Stars +13%GameHunters · 10 maps
AncientGameHunters pick
54%50%
Keyd Stars · 9 mapsnearly even +4%GameHunters · 4 maps
NukeKeyd Stars ban
38%50%
Keyd Stars · 9 mapsedge GameHunters +12%GameHunters · 4 maps
MirageGameHunters ban
45%38%
Keyd Stars · 7 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%GameHunters · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%30%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Keyd Stars +30%GameHunters · 6 maps
AnubisGameHunters ban
63%40%
Keyd Stars · 4 mapsedge Keyd Stars +23%GameHunters · 1 map
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
50%43%
Keyd Stars · 0 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%GameHunters · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanGameHunters remove Anubis
3. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
4. PickGameHunters take Ancient
5. BanGameHunters remove Mirage
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed5:13
Keyd Stars 54%GameHunters 46%
The model gave 54% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by GameHunters.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Keyd Stars 57%GameHunters 43%
The model gave 57% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Keyd Stars 58%GameHunters 42%
The model gave 58% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Keyd Stars.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 51%
Series resultKeyd Stars 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3