CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
KOLESIE#117 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
50%63%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 maps
NukeKOLESIE pick
60%57%
KOLESIE · 1 mapnearly even +3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
AnubisKOLESIE ban
50%36%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsedge KOLESIE +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%36%
KOLESIE · 2 mapsedge KOLESIE +14%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
InfernoKOLESIE ban
50%45%
KOLESIE · 0 mapsedge KOLESIE +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%33%
KOLESIE · 4 mapsedge KOLESIE +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 2 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
38%50%
KOLESIE · 4 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKOLESIE remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickKOLESIE take Nuke
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanKOLESIE remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
KOLESIE 35%ex-Zero Tenacity 65%
The model gave 65% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Overpassprediction correct13:8
KOLESIE 69%ex-Zero Tenacity 31%
The model gave 69% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by KOLESIE.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
KOLESIE 53%ex-Zero Tenacity 47%
The model gave 53% on KOLESIE — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOLESIE · 64%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3