ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs predictionKKZG#182 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoBGNS Orange pick
40%43%
KZG · 1 mapnearly even -3%BGNS Orange · 3 maps
DefaultKZG pick
60%60%
KZG · 1 mapnearly even +0%BGNS Orange · 1 map
NukeBGNS Orange ban
50%33%
KZG · 0 mapsedge KZG +17%BGNS Orange · 2 maps
AncientKZG ban
50%60%
KZG · 0 mapsedge BGNS Orange +10%BGNS Orange · 1 map
Dust2KZG ban
50%40%
KZG · 0 mapsedge KZG +10%BGNS Orange · 1 map
MirageBGNS Orange ban
50%40%
KZG · 0 mapsedge KZG +10%BGNS Orange · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKZG remove Dust2
2. BanBGNS Orange remove Nuke
3. PickKZG take Default
4. PickBGNS Orange take Inferno
5. BanBGNS Orange remove Mirage
6. BanKZG remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
KZG 57%BGNS Orange 43%
The model gave 57% on KZG — the map was taken by KZG.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
KZG 43%BGNS Orange 57%
The model gave 57% on BGNS Orange — the map was taken by BGNS Orange.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
KZG 47%BGNS Orange 53%
The model gave 53% on BGNS Orange — the map was taken by KZG.
Model check result
Model favoriteBGNS Orange · 51%
Series resultKZG 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3