NSTLGA Texas Open 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
LAG#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SMSutti's Money Crewloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoSutti's Money Crew pick
60%50%
LAG · 16 mapsedge LAG +10%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
Dust2LAG ban
61%50%
LAG · 14 mapsedge LAG +11%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
MirageLAG ban
47%50%
LAG · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
AnubisSutti's Money Crew ban
71%50%
LAG · 10 mapsedge LAG +21%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
NukeLAG pick
71%50%
LAG · 10 mapsedge LAG +21%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
AncientSutti's Money Crew ban
82%50%
LAG · 7 mapsedge LAG +32%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
67%50%
LAG · 2 mapsedge LAG +17%Sutti's Money Crew · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLAG remove Mirage
2. BanSutti's Money Crew remove Ancient
3. PickLAG take Nuke
4. PickSutti's Money Crew take Inferno
5. BanSutti's Money Crew remove Anubis
6. BanLAG remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
LAG 44%Sutti's Money Crew 56%
The model gave 56% on Sutti's Money Crew — the map was taken by LAG.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
LAG 63%Sutti's Money Crew 37%
The model gave 63% on LAG — the map was taken by LAG.
Model check result
Model favoriteLAG · 70%
Series resultLAG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2