Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Last Bullet#210 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Just Swing#173 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Last Bullet pick
56%57%
Last Bullet · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Just Swing · 3 maps
NukeJust Swing pick
40%63%
Last Bullet · 1 mapedge Just Swing +23%Just Swing · 4 maps
AncientLast Bullet ban
50%60%
Last Bullet · 2 mapsedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 1 map
DefaultJust Swing ban
60%33%
Last Bullet · 1 mapedge Last Bullet +27%Just Swing · 2 maps
MirageJust Swing ban
67%60%
Last Bullet · 2 mapsedge Last Bullet +7%Just Swing · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
Last Bullet · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Just Swing · 2 maps
AnubisLast Bullet ban
50%60%
Last Bullet · 0 mapsedge Just Swing +10%Just Swing · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLast Bullet remove Anubis
2. BanJust Swing remove Mirage
3. PickLast Bullet take Dust2
4. PickJust Swing take Nuke
5. BanJust Swing remove Default
6. BanLast Bullet remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
Last Bullet 26%Just Swing 74%
The model gave 74% on Just Swing — the map was taken by Last Bullet.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
Last Bullet 51%Just Swing 49%
The model gave 51% on Last Bullet — the map was taken by Just Swing.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Last Bullet 40%Just Swing 60%
The model gave 60% on Just Swing — the map was taken by Last Bullet.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Swing · 52%
Series resultLast Bullet 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3