CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
36%52%
Lavked · 18 mapsedge ENCE +16%ENCE · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%43%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Lavked +7%ENCE · 10 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
60%50%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Lavked +10%ENCE · 6 maps
AncientENCE ban
37%22%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +15%ENCE · 5 maps
AnubisLavked ban
50%54%
Lavked · 8 mapsnearly even -4%ENCE · 9 maps
InfernoENCE pick
40%57%
Lavked · 6 mapsedge ENCE +17%ENCE · 10 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge ENCE +10%ENCE · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanENCE remove Ancient
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickENCE take Inferno
5. BanENCE remove Dust2
6. BanLavked remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:13
Lavked 63%ENCE 37%
The model gave 63% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
Lavked 31%ENCE 69%
The model gave 69% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
Lavked 57%ENCE 43%
The model gave 57% on Lavked — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteENCE · 56%
Series resultENCE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3