CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HAVU#108 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lavked pick
53%33%
Lavked · 32 mapsedge Lavked +20%HAVU · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
44%58%
Lavked · 28 mapsedge HAVU +14%HAVU · 15 maps
NukeHAVU pick
42%74%
Lavked · 22 mapsedge HAVU +32%HAVU · 19 maps
AncientHAVU ban
46%33%
Lavked · 22 mapsedge Lavked +13%HAVU · 8 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
53%40%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +13%HAVU · 1 map
InfernoLavked ban
38%36%
Lavked · 9 mapsnearly even +2%HAVU · 7 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%42%
Lavked · 1 mapnearly even -2%HAVU · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. PickLavked take Dust2
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Ancient
6. BanLavked remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (44% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct12:16
Lavked 19%HAVU 81%
The model gave 81% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Lavked 72%HAVU 28%
The model gave 72% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Lavked 36%HAVU 64%
The model gave 64% on HAVU — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 55%
Series resultLavked 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3