CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HEROIC Academy#100 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
62%42%
Lavked · 25 mapsedge Lavked +20%HEROIC Academy · 8 maps
Dust2HEROIC Academy ban
43%20%
Lavked · 17 mapsedge Lavked +23%HEROIC Academy · 6 maps
NukeHEROIC Academy ban
57%29%
Lavked · 17 mapsedge Lavked +28%HEROIC Academy · 3 maps
AncientHEROIC Academy pick
79%50%
Lavked · 10 mapsedge Lavked +29%HEROIC Academy · 6 maps
InfernoLavked ban
31%43%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge HEROIC Academy +12%HEROIC Academy · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
44%40%
Lavked · 5 mapsnearly even +4%HEROIC Academy · 6 maps
OverpassLavked ban
50%50%
Lavked · 2 mapsnearly even +0%HEROIC Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanHEROIC Academy remove Nuke
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickHEROIC Academy take Ancient
5. BanHEROIC Academy remove Dust2
6. BanLavked remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (44% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Lavked 52%HEROIC Academy 48%
The model gave 52% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
Lavked 72%HEROIC Academy 28%
The model gave 72% on Lavked — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Lavked 79%HEROIC Academy 21%
The model gave 79% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 77%
Series resultLavked 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3