CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
60%55%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Lavked +5%Honvéd · 36 maps
MirageLavked pick
35%50%
Lavked · 19 mapsedge Honvéd +15%Honvéd · 30 maps
AncientLavked ban
37%53%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Honvéd +16%Honvéd · 15 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
50%56%
Lavked · 14 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Honvéd · 5 maps
InfernoLavked ban
33%35%
Lavked · 5 mapsnearly even -2%Honvéd · 13 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%67%
Lavked · 4 mapsedge Honvéd +29%Honvéd · 11 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
50%50%
Lavked · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Honvéd · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickHonvéd take Dust2
5. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
6. BanLavked remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (38% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Lavked 53%Honvéd 47%
The model gave 53% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
Lavked 45%Honvéd 55%
The model gave 55% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 55%
Series resultLavked 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2