CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
36%53%
Lavked · 18 mapsedge Just Players +17%Just Players · 30 maps
Dust2possible decider
58%38%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +20%Just Players · 22 maps
AncientJust Players pick
31%64%
Lavked · 12 mapsedge Just Players +33%Just Players · 21 map
NukeJust Players ban
53%35%
Lavked · 13 mapsedge Lavked +18%Just Players · 13 maps
AnubisJust Players ban
56%45%
Lavked · 5 mapsedge Lavked +11%Just Players · 7 maps
DefaultLavked ban
43%64%
Lavked · 3 mapsedge Just Players +21%Just Players · 7 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%33%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +7%Just Players · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanJust Players remove Nuke
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickJust Players take Ancient
5. BanJust Players remove Anubis
6. BanLavked remove Default
DeciderDust2 (58% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
Lavked 70%Just Players 30%
The model gave 70% on Lavked — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Lavked 18%Just Players 82%
The model gave 82% on Just Players — the map was taken by Lavked.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Lavked 69%Just Players 31%
The model gave 69% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 70%
Series resultLavked 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3