CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nexus#159 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lavked pick
58%46%
Lavked · 22 mapsedge Lavked +12%Nexus · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
36%56%
Lavked · 21 mapedge Nexus +20%Nexus · 5 maps
AncientLavked ban
38%67%
Lavked · 17 mapsedge Nexus +29%Nexus · 5 maps
AnubisNexus pick
54%57%
Lavked · 9 mapsnearly even -3%Nexus · 10 maps
NukeNexus ban
50%40%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Lavked +10%Nexus · 1 map
InfernoNexus ban
36%44%
Lavked · 7 mapsedge Nexus +8%Nexus · 5 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%45%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Nexus +5%Nexus · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Cache
2. BanNexus remove Nuke
3. PickLavked take Dust2
4. PickNexus take Anubis
5. BanNexus remove Inferno
6. BanLavked remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (36% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
Lavked 44%Nexus 56%
The model gave 56% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Lavked 64%Nexus 36%
The model gave 64% on Lavked — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 55%
Series resultNexus 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2