CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
62%56%
Lavked · 22 mapsedge Lavked +6%Phantom · 5 maps
Dust2Phantom pick
45%67%
Lavked · 16 mapsedge Phantom +22%Phantom · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
63%57%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +6%Phantom · 3 maps
AncientPhantom ban
77%44%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Lavked +33%Phantom · 5 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
31%50%
Lavked · 9 mapsedge Phantom +19%Phantom · 0 maps
AnubisLavked ban
44%50%
Lavked · 5 mapsedge Phantom +6%Phantom · 0 maps
OverpassLavked ban
50%50%
Lavked · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Anubis
2. BanPhantom remove Inferno
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Ancient
6. BanLavked remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (63% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Lavked 59%Phantom 41%
The model gave 59% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Lavked 27%Phantom 73%
The model gave 73% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Lavked 56%Phantom 44%
The model gave 56% on Lavked — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 69%
Series resultPhantom 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3