FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 13:3series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 13:3
NT#92 in the world · loss 3:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
64%40%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +24%NT · 1 map
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
33%50%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge NT +17%NT · 4 maps
InfernoNT ban
63%60%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsnearly even +3%NT · 1 map
MirageLazer Cats ban
50%43%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%NT · 3 maps
NukeNT ban
43%40%
Lazer Cats · 3 mapsnearly even +3%NT · 1 map
AnubisNT ban
60%33%
Lazer Cats · 1 mapedge Lazer Cats +27%NT · 2 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
50%43%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%NT · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
2. BanNT remove Nuke
3. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
4. BanNT remove Anubis
5. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
6. BanNT remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (64% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
Lazer Cats 75%NT 25%
The model gave 75% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteNT · 65%
Series resultLazer Cats 13:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1