CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo pick
59%50%
Leo · 23 mapsedge Leo +9%ex-RUSTEC · 18 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
37%56%
Leo · 15 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +19%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%44%
Leo · 11 mapsedge Leo +16%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%50%
Leo · 14 mapsnearly even +0%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
MirageLeo ban
44%67%
Leo · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +23%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
CacheLeo ban
50%42%
Leo · 2 mapsedge Leo +8%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
60%45%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +15%ex-RUSTEC · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickLeo take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanLeo remove Cache
DeciderNuke (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Leo 68%ex-RUSTEC 32%
The model gave 68% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
Leo 56%ex-RUSTEC 44%
The model gave 56% on Leo — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Anubisprediction correct2:13
Leo 32%ex-RUSTEC 68%
The model gave 68% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 54%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3