CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
40%39%
Leo · 21 mapnearly even +1%G2 Ares · 19 maps
AncientLeo pick
42%50%
Leo · 15 mapsedge G2 Ares +8%G2 Ares · 14 maps
MirageG2 Ares pick
36%46%
Leo · 7 mapsedge G2 Ares +10%G2 Ares · 22 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%57%
Leo · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +7%G2 Ares · 24 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
86%50%
Leo · 17 mapsedge Leo +36%G2 Ares · 0 maps
CacheG2 Ares ban
45%31%
Leo · 7 mapsedge Leo +14%G2 Ares · 9 maps
AnubisLeo ban
38%50%
Leo · 9 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickLeo take Ancient
4. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
5. BanG2 Ares remove Cache
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (40% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Leo 47%G2 Ares 53%
The model gave 53% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 54%
Series resultG2 Ares 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1