CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
67%67%
Leo · 2 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 17 maps
NukeLeo ban
50%55%
Leo · 0 mapsedge GenOne +5%GenOne · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
33%46%
Leo · 2 mapsedge GenOne +13%GenOne · 9 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
50%42%
Leo · 0 mapsedge Leo +8%GenOne · 8 maps
InfernoLeo ban
50%70%
Leo · 0 mapsedge GenOne +20%GenOne · 6 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
57%50%
Leo · 3 mapsedge Leo +7%GenOne · 2 maps
DefaultLeo pick
50%33%
Leo · 0 mapsedge Leo +17%GenOne · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. BanGenOne remove Anubis
3. PickLeo take Default
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanLeo remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (33% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Leo 47%GenOne 53%
The model gave 53% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Anubisprediction missed4:13
Leo 60%GenOne 40%
The model gave 60% on Leo — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 62%
Series resultGenOne 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2