CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo pick
67%46%
Leo · 8 mapsedge Leo +21%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
AnubisHYPERSPIRIT ban
38%36%
Leo · 9 mapsnearly even +2%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%45%
Leo · 2 mapsedge Leo +22%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT pick
33%67%
Leo · 5 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +34%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
NukeLeo ban
33%29%
Leo · 2 mapsnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
DefaultLeo ban
50%63%
Leo · 0 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 4 maps
InfernoHYPERSPIRIT ban
60%40%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +20%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Nuke
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Inferno
3. PickLeo take Dust2
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Ancient
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Anubis
6. BanLeo remove Default
DeciderMirage (67% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Leo 72%HYPERSPIRIT 28%
The model gave 72% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Mirageprediction correct16:14
Leo 68%HYPERSPIRIT 32%
The model gave 68% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 51%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2