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CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeLeo pick
86%50%
Leo · 24 mapsedge Leo +36%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
Dust2Leo ban
39%46%
Leo · 24 mapsedge Phantom Academy +7%Phantom Academy · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
38%47%
Leo · 17 mapsedge Phantom Academy +9%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
MirageLeo ban
36%67%
Leo · 10 mapsedge Phantom Academy +31%Phantom Academy · 14 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
47%38%
Leo · 13 mapsedge Leo +9%Phantom Academy · 9 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
36%43%
Leo · 10 mapsedge Phantom Academy +7%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
DefaultPhantom Academy pick
22%50%
Leo · 5 mapsedge Phantom Academy +28%Phantom Academy · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickPhantom Academy take Default
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
6. BanLeo remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (38% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:4
Leo 62%Phantom Academy 38%
The model gave 62% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
Leo 20%Phantom Academy 80%
The model gave 80% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
Leo 43%Phantom Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 63%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3