CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo ban
41%53%
Leo · 23 mapsedge Spirit Academy +12%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
43%73%
Leo · 17 mapsedge Spirit Academy +30%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
NukeLeo pick
83%38%
Leo · 19 mapsedge Leo +45%Spirit Academy · 9 maps
Cachepossible decider
42%54%
Leo · 8 mapsedge Spirit Academy +12%Spirit Academy · 9 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
36%45%
Leo · 10 mapsedge Spirit Academy +9%Spirit Academy · 7 maps
AnubisLeo ban
38%71%
Leo · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +33%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
25%50%
Leo · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +25%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Anubis
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
6. BanLeo remove Dust2
DeciderCache (42% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
Leo 35%Spirit Academy 65%
The model gave 65% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Leo.
Nukeprediction correct13:1
Leo 90%Spirit Academy 10%
The model gave 90% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 51%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2