CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UNiTY#102 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo pick
53%45%
Leo · 26 mapsedge Leo +8%UNiTY · 7 maps
AncientUNiTY pick
50%72%
Leo · 16 mapsedge UNiTY +22%UNiTY · 14 maps
AnubisLeo ban
28%58%
Leo · 14 mapsedge UNiTY +30%UNiTY · 8 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
68%33%
Leo · 15 mapsedge Leo +35%UNiTY · 2 maps
MirageLeo ban
40%50%
Leo · 6 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 10 maps
CacheUNiTY ban
50%36%
Leo · 2 mapsedge Leo +14%UNiTY · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%45%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +15%UNiTY · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickLeo take Dust2
4. PickUNiTY take Ancient
5. BanUNiTY remove Cache
6. BanLeo remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (60% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Leo 61%UNiTY 39%
The model gave 61% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Mirageprediction missed16:13
Leo 37%UNiTY 63%
The model gave 63% on UNiTY — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 58%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2