ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WBT Academy#130 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLFO 10 pick
36%38%
LFO 10 · 7 mapsnearly even -2%WBT Academy · 9 maps
AnubisWBT Academy pick
50%58%
LFO 10 · 0 mapsedge WBT Academy +8%WBT Academy · 15 maps
Dust2LFO 10 ban
33%77%
LFO 10 · 5 mapsedge WBT Academy +44%WBT Academy · 9 maps
NukeLFO 10 ban
50%38%
LFO 10 · 2 mapsedge LFO 10 +12%WBT Academy · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%60%
LFO 10 · 3 mapsedge WBT Academy +17%WBT Academy · 6 maps
CacheWBT Academy ban
57%50%
LFO 10 · 3 mapsedge LFO 10 +7%WBT Academy · 0 maps
DefaultWBT Academy ban
67%60%
LFO 10 · 2 mapsedge LFO 10 +7%WBT Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLFO 10 remove Nuke
2. BanWBT Academy remove Cache
3. PickLFO 10 take Mirage
4. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
5. BanWBT Academy remove Default
6. BanLFO 10 remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (43% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
LFO 10 51%WBT Academy 49%
The model gave 51% on LFO 10 — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
LFO 10 39%WBT Academy 61%
The model gave 61% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 52%
Series resultWBT Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2