PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Oceania Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Finishers#222 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
43%60%
LFO 8 · 3 mapsedge Finishers +17%Finishers · 1 map
InfernoLFO 8 pick
50%40%
LFO 8 · 2 mapsedge LFO 8 +10%Finishers · 1 map
AncientFinishers pick
33%50%
LFO 8 · 2 mapsedge Finishers +17%Finishers · 0 maps
Dust2LFO 8 ban
40%40%
LFO 8 · 1 mapnearly even +0%Finishers · 1 map
MirageLFO 8 ban
40%40%
LFO 8 · 1 mapnearly even +0%Finishers · 1 map
AnubisFinishers ban
50%40%
LFO 8 · 0 mapsedge LFO 8 +10%Finishers · 1 map
CacheFinishers ban
60%50%
LFO 8 · 1 mapedge LFO 8 +10%Finishers · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLFO 8 remove Dust2
2. BanFinishers remove Cache
3. PickLFO 8 take Inferno
4. PickFinishers take Ancient
5. BanFinishers remove Anubis
6. BanLFO 8 remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (43% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct16:14
LFO 8 57%Finishers 43%
The model gave 57% on LFO 8 — the map was taken by LFO 8.
Cacheprediction correct16:12
LFO 8 63%Finishers 37%
The model gave 63% on LFO 8 — the map was taken by LFO 8.
Model check result
Model favoriteLFO 8 · 51%
Series resultLFO 8 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2