ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · win 16:12series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 16:12
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
33%33%
Lilmix · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Anteiku · 2 maps
AncientAnteiku ban
22%40%
Lilmix · 5 mapsedge Anteiku +18%Anteiku · 1 map
AnubisLilmix ban
50%40%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Lilmix +10%Anteiku · 1 map
CacheLilmix ban
43%50%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge Anteiku +7%Anteiku · 0 maps
InfernoAnteiku ban
33%60%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Anteiku +27%Anteiku · 1 map
Dust2Lilmix ban
40%40%
Lilmix · 1 mapnearly even +0%Anteiku · 1 map
DefaultAnteiku ban
60%50%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge Lilmix +10%Anteiku · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Dust2
2. BanAnteiku remove Default
3. BanLilmix remove Cache
4. BanAnteiku remove Ancient
5. BanLilmix remove Anubis
6. BanAnteiku remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (33% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:12
Lilmix 30%Anteiku 70%
The model gave 70% on Anteiku — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 51%
Series resultLilmix 16:12
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1