CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
40%40%
Lilmix · 11 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
45%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Dust2Lilmix ban
20%40%
Lilmix · 6 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +20%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
OverpassBushido Wildcats ban
67%50%
Lilmix · 5 mapsedge Lilmix +17%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
InfernoLilmix pick
71%50%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge Lilmix +21%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
DefaultLilmix ban
33%50%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +17%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Dust2
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Overpass
3. PickLilmix take Inferno
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
6. BanLilmix remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Lilmix 25%Bushido Wildcats 75%
The model gave 75% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Overpassprediction missed22:25
Lilmix 69%Bushido Wildcats 31%
The model gave 69% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 60%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2