CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#164 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushido Wildcats#84 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
40%40%
Lilmix · 1 mapnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
AncientLilmix ban
40%50%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +10%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Dust2Lilmix pick
50%40%
Lilmix · 0 mapsedge Lilmix +10%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
OverpassBushido Wildcats ban
60%50%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge Lilmix +10%Bushido Wildcats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Ancient
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Overpass
3. PickLilmix take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Lilmix 57%Bushido Wildcats 43%
The model gave 57% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Overpassprediction missed22:25
Lilmix 63%Bushido Wildcats 37%
The model gave 63% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 60%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2