Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
35%50%
Lilmix · 13 mapsedge ENERGYULTRA +15%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
Dust2ENERGYULTRA pick
25%50%
Lilmix · 12 mapsedge ENERGYULTRA +25%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
AncientLilmix ban
38%50%
Lilmix · 9 mapsedge ENERGYULTRA +12%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
InfernoENERGYULTRA ban
73%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Lilmix +23%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
OverpassLilmix pick
55%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Lilmix +5%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
DefaultENERGYULTRA ban
43%50%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge ENERGYULTRA +7%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
AnubisLilmix ban
40%50%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge ENERGYULTRA +10%ENERGYULTRA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Anubis
2. BanENERGYULTRA remove Inferno
3. PickLilmix take Overpass
4. PickENERGYULTRA take Dust2
5. BanENERGYULTRA remove Default
6. BanLilmix remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (35% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct1:13
Lilmix 36%ENERGYULTRA 64%
The model gave 64% on ENERGYULTRA — the map was taken by ENERGYULTRA.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Lilmix 38%ENERGYULTRA 62%
The model gave 62% on ENERGYULTRA — the map was taken by ENERGYULTRA.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilmix · 59%
Series resultENERGYULTRA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2