ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 8:13series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 8:13
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 13:8The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEternal Fire ban
33%56%
Lilmix · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +23%Eternal Fire · 14 maps
AncientLilmix ban
25%61%
Lilmix · 4 mapsedge Eternal Fire +36%Eternal Fire · 14 maps
CacheLilmix ban
43%58%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +15%Eternal Fire · 15 maps
Dust2Lilmix ban
40%72%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge Eternal Fire +32%Eternal Fire · 14 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
33%57%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Eternal Fire +24%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
50%58%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Eternal Fire +8%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%57%
Lilmix · 1 mapnearly even +3%Eternal Fire · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Dust2
2. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
3. BanLilmix remove Ancient
4. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
5. BanLilmix remove Cache
6. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
Lilmix 17%Eternal Fire 83%
The model gave 83% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 76%
Series resultEternal Fire 8:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1