CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#204 in the world · win 1:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
24%67%
Lilmix · 13 mapsedge Misa +43%Misa · 14 maps
Miragepossible decider
32%46%
Lilmix · 15 mapsedge Misa +14%Misa · 9 maps
InfernoLilmix pick
71%40%
Lilmix · 10 mapsedge Lilmix +31%Misa · 6 maps
AncientMisa ban
41%50%
Lilmix · 13 mapsedge Misa +9%Misa · 0 maps
NukeLilmix ban
50%46%
Lilmix · 0 mapsnearly even +4%Misa · 9 maps
OverpassMisa ban
55%33%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Lilmix +22%Misa · 2 maps
AnubisLilmix ban
40%44%
Lilmix · 1 mapnearly even -4%Misa · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Nuke
2. BanMisa remove Ancient
3. PickLilmix take Inferno
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Overpass
6. BanLilmix remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (32% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Lilmix 50%Misa 50%
The model gave 50% on Lilmix — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 66%
Series resultLilmix 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1