CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilmix#216 in the world · win 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Revise#235 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRevise pick
27%50%
Lilmix · 7 mapsedge Revise +23%Revise · 8 maps
AncientLilmix ban
30%44%
Lilmix · 6 mapsedge Revise +14%Revise · 5 maps
CacheRevise ban
38%33%
Lilmix · 4 mapsedge Lilmix +5%Revise · 5 maps
Dust2Lilmix ban
33%56%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Revise +23%Revise · 5 maps
AnubisRevise ban
43%50%
Lilmix · 3 mapsedge Revise +7%Revise · 2 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%50%
Lilmix · 2 mapsedge Revise +17%Revise · 2 maps
DefaultLilmix pick
60%67%
Lilmix · 1 mapedge Revise +7%Revise · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLilmix remove Dust2
2. BanRevise remove Anubis
3. PickLilmix take Default
4. PickRevise take Mirage
5. BanRevise remove Cache
6. BanLilmix remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (33% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed16:12
Lilmix 38%Revise 62%
The model gave 62% on Revise — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
Lilmix 31%Revise 69%
The model gave 69% on Revise — the map was taken by Lilmix.
Model check result
Model favoriteRevise · 53%
Series resultLilmix 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2