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Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 13:6
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 13:6
3DMAX#20 in the world · loss 6:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheLiquid ban
55%56%
Liquid · 7 mapsnearly even -1%3DMAX · 12 maps
Nuke3DMAX ban
62%38%
Liquid · 9 mapsedge Liquid +24%3DMAX · 9 maps
Infernopossible decider
71%44%
Liquid · 3 mapsedge Liquid +27%3DMAX · 12 maps
Dust2Liquid ban
40%50%
Liquid · 6 mapsedge 3DMAX +10%3DMAX · 8 maps
Anubis3DMAX ban
64%43%
Liquid · 10 mapsedge Liquid +21%3DMAX · 3 maps
AncientLiquid ban
40%60%
Liquid · 1 mapedge 3DMAX +20%3DMAX · 11 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
67%50%
Liquid · 5 mapsedge Liquid +17%3DMAX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Ancient
2. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
3. BanLiquid remove Dust2
4. Ban3DMAX remove Anubis
5. BanLiquid remove Cache
6. Ban3DMAX remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (71% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Liquid 72%3DMAX 28%
The model gave 72% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 51%
Series resultLiquid 13:6
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1